Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.325609 1.566261 1.818013 2.099384 2.403525 2.720938 3.075845
2024-12-22 0.959487 1.289036 1.656419 2.089267 2.578863 3.109830 3.723813
2024-12-29 0.777720 1.150171 1.584653 2.114700 2.731329 3.415320 4.221327
2025-01-05 0.631511 1.030193 1.516442 2.129005 2.859465 3.685359 4.673805
2025-01-12 0.498253 0.903770 1.421721 2.094999 2.916617 3.861758 5.008486
2025-01-19 0.447671 0.878234 1.446539 2.201089 3.135851 4.223006 5.553307
2025-01-26 0.409105 0.862954 1.479914 2.314165 3.360814 4.589146 6.102626
2025-02-02 0.381359 0.858930 1.525175 2.440147 3.600174 4.971655 6.670978
2025-02-09 0.363063 0.866122 1.583658 2.581835 3.858222 5.376266 7.265581
2025-02-16 0.328503 0.843097 1.597506 2.663331 4.040029 5.688741 7.751255
2025-02-23 0.282308 0.794710 1.571559 2.689278 4.149895 5.912925 8.131244
2025-03-02 0.210765 0.690748 1.457741 2.591630 4.098502 5.937780 8.270864
2025-03-09 0.151162 0.598483 1.358299 2.515200 4.080006 6.011989 8.482805
2025-03-16 0.110058 0.531496 1.291150 2.479213 4.111218 6.146070 8.766531
2025-03-23 0.088222 0.500409 1.277398 2.515959 4.235631 6.394171 9.186896
2025-03-30 0.066576 0.462371 1.248570 2.528615 4.326608 6.599629 9.555004
2025-04-06 0.043647 0.409429 1.188905 2.492255 4.349113 6.716799 9.813380
2025-04-13 0.039827 0.414664 1.231570 2.608627 4.578804 7.097353 10.396903
2025-04-20 0.037095 0.422838 1.279420 2.732962 4.819704 7.492717 10.999471
2025-04-27 0.035759 0.435802 1.336114 2.871001 5.079803 7.913194 11.633915
2025-05-04 0.035910 0.454536 1.403692 3.025996 5.363651 8.364656 12.307542
2025-05-11 0.030803 0.450453 1.428238 3.114981 5.556911 8.700470 12.838343
2025-05-18 0.022300 0.426712 1.414000 3.143295 5.665994 8.928074 13.234811